Canadian consumer debt expected to rise 4 to record 28853 next year

TORONTO, Ontario — Canadians will ramp up their record levels of debt in 2014, says one of the country’s leading rating agencies.Credit-monitoring agency TransUnion predicts in its first such annual forecast that the average consumer’s total non-mortgage debt will hit an all-time high of $28,853 by the end of 2014.That would be about $1,100 more than the $27,743 of debt consumers are expected to have at the end of this year.TransUnion says car loans are expected to drive the increase in such debt, which also includes credit card debt, lines of credit, student loans and the like.On the plus side, the credit-monitoring agency says it expects loan delinquency rates to continue to decline in the coming year, falling to 1.66 per cent at the end of 2014 compared with 1.76 per cent forecast for the fourth quarter of this yearBoth figures are down from 1.93 per cent in 2012 and 2.87 per cent in 2009.“The average Canadian consumer’s total debt is expected to rise by four per cent in 2014, which would be more than $4,500 higher than what we had observed five years earlier in 2009,” Thomas Higgins, TransUnion’s vice-president of analytics and decision services, said in the report.Higgins noted that while the 2014 increase is much greater than the expected one per cent rise in 2013, it is in line with consumer debt growth of recent years.“In recent years, the increase in auto sales has helped propel the total debt number and we believe auto captive loans will once again be a driver of this increase in 2014,” he said.“Instalment loans also have played a major role and we don’t expect there to be a material change in this trend,” he added.While TransUnion expects delinquency levels to drop next year and remain significantly lower than just a few years ago, “there is a slight concern that delinquencies could rise once interest rates increase,” Higgins said.However, he added that at this time “we do not believe interest rates will rise enough to materially impact delinquency levels.” read more

Canadian lumber producers face average 27 per cent duties with second wave

A worker tidies up the wood pile at a lumber yard Tuesday, April 25, 2017 in Montreal. Canada’s softwood lumber industry faces average duties of about 27 per cent after the U.S. Department of Commerce slapped it with an additional 6.87 per cent in preliminary average anti-dumping tariffs. The new anti-dumping duty will overlap for about two months with average preliminary countervailing duties of 19.88 per cent announced in April that are set to expire Aug. 27.THE CANADIAN PRESS/Paul Chiasson by Ross Marowits, The Canadian Press Posted Jun 26, 2017 3:54 pm MDT Last Updated Jun 27, 2017 at 7:00 am MDT AddThis Sharing ButtonsShare to TwitterTwitterShare to FacebookFacebookShare to RedditRedditShare to 電子郵件Email Canadian lumber producers face average 27 per cent duties with second wave MONTREAL – Canada’s softwood lumber industry faces average duties of about 27 per cent after the U.S. Department of Commerce slapped it with an additional 6.87 per cent in preliminary average anti-dumping tariffs.The new anti-dumping duty will overlap for about two months with average preliminary countervailing duties of 19.88 per cent announced in April that are set to expire Aug. 27.Final combined duties will be applied around the end of the year when all determinations have been made.Resolute Forest Products (TSX:RFP) was assessed Monday with the lowest duties of 4.59 per cent while Canfor (TSX:CFP) gets the highest at 7.72 per cent.Two other mandatory respondents, West Fraser Timber (TSX:WFT) and Tolko, were tagged with 6.76 and 7.53 per cent duties, respectively.The rates are below the average 10 per cent forecast by industry analysts.West Fraser will have the highest combined duties at 30.88 per cent, followed by Canfor at 27.98 per cent and Tolko at 27.03 per cent. All other producers will face combined average duties of 26.75, with the exception of Resolute at 17.41 per cent and J.D. Irving at 9.89 per cent.The duties will continue to be collected until a final decision by the U.S. is issued later this summer.Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross announced separately that an internal investigation has determined that it was appropriate to exclude Atlantic provinces of Nova Scotia, P.E.I. and Newfoundland and Labrador from softwood lumber duties as requested by the U.S. industry and Canadian officials.Jerome Pelletier, chairman of the New Brunswick Lumber Producers, said the anti-dumping duty will put “significant pressure” on producers in the province.“New Brunswick should be granted the historic 35-year Maritime exemption from any duties on softwood lumber shipments to the U.S.,” Pelletier said in a statement Monday. “We’re market-driven and have the highest Crown stumpage rates in Canada.”He added that forest products in New Brunswick contribute more to the provincial economy than forest products in British Columbia.“No other industry impacts as many communities in New Brunswick as forestry and forest products,” he said.In a joint statement, Natural Resources Minister Jim Carr and Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland said they are “deeply disappointed” with the U.S. decision to impose what they call “unfair and punitive anti-dumping duties.”The two cabinet ministers said the penalties are based on a “flawed rationale that is damaging to workers, communities and consumers in Canada and the United States” and that Canada will “vigorously defend” the forest industry through litigation.They added that while consultations on exclusions for Nova Scotia, P.E.I. and Newfoundland and Labrador represent “significant progress” in the dispute, Canada will continue to press the U.S. to remove duties for all provinces. Carr and Freeland also said they would welcome a U.S. Department of Commerce commitment to consider an exclusion for New Brunswick.Canada’s share of the U.S. softwood lumber market was 27 per cent in May, down from 31 per cent a year earlier, according to monthly Canadian government reports. That represented a $165-million loss in exports for the month, including $105 million in B.C. and $18 million in Quebec.Final duty rates have been lower than preliminary tariffs in the past. But Paul Quinn of RBC Capital Markets said that could change because the U.S. Lumber Coalition is pushing for a tough response to the Canadian government’s $867-million financial support for the industry, mainly through loans and loan guarantees.The U.S. Lumber Coalition applauded the announcement Monday, saying Canada has distorted the softwood lumber market with billions of dollars in support national producers.“The 350,000 hard working men and women in the U.S. lumber industry deserve a level playing field,” spokesman Zoltan van Heyningen said in a statement Monday. “We encourage the Department to continue strongly enforcing U.S. trade laws to respond to these unfair practices that have harmed U.S. companies and their workers.”But, the president of the British Columbia Lumber Trade Council said the duties are being felt by American consumers in the form of significantly higher prices.“That’s what constraining the market does,” Susan Yurkovich told a teleconference call.“The duties are a direct result of the actions taken by the protectionist U.S. lumber lobby whose sole purpose it to create artificial constraints on Canadian lumber to drive up prices for their benefit at the expense of American consumers.”B.C. is the largest Canadian exporter of softwood lumber to the United States at well over 50 per cent.This is the fifth time the U.S. has accused Canada of unfairly subsidizing its softwood industry. The government says Canada has always prevailed against the accusations before the World Trade Organization or under the North American Free Trade Agreement.A negotiated settlement on softwood with the U.S. expired in 2015, triggering the latest round of tariffs. The previous settlement took more than four years to negotiate.Canada can’t file an appeal of the tariffs until early next year after the final determinations from the U.S. government are issued.The Conference Board of Canada has said U.S. softwood lumber duties paid at current export levels will cost Canadian producers $1.7 billion a year and cut about 2,200 jobs until a softwood settlement is reached.After the countervailing duties were announced, Resolute said it would cut shifts at seven sawmills and delay the start of forest operations that will affect 1,282 workers. read more